Serie A AC Milan vs Torino 10/26/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Bologna saw another red card in the second half, while AC Milan scored 2 late goals to win by 4-2. They are still sitting at the 2

AC Milan have won all 4 matches at home so far, scoring 11 and conceding 3 goals. They have the 2nd best xG in the league with 16.8, and the 2nd best offense with 22 goals (5.2 more than the expected, which indicates an overperforming offense). At home they have the 3rd best xG with 9.78 and the 3rd best offense with 11 goals (1.22 more of what is expected).

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Serie A AC Milan vs Torino Predictions 10/26/2021

Serie A AC Milan vs Torino 10/26/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Torino are sitting at the 12th spot of the league table with 11 points (3 wins, 4 losses, 2 draws). They have the 10th best xG in the league with 12.99, but the 4th worst offense with 12 goals (normal numbers). On the road they have the 4th worst xG with 4.71, and the worst away offense with 3 goals (1.71 fewer goals than expected, which indicates an underperforming offense).

When it comes to xGA, Torino have the 4th best xGA in the league with 10.55, and the 3rd best defense with 10 conceded goals. On the road they have the 2nd best xGA with 4.19, and the 2nd best away defense with 4 conceded goals. 

AC Milan vs Torino. AC Milan beat Torino in both league matches last season, by 2-0 in this venue and by a massive 7-0 on the road. In-between they also played a Cup match, where AC Milan won in the penalty shoot-out (after a goal-less draw in regular time).

AC Milan have been tremendous as hosts against Torino in over 30 years, losing only a Cup match against them (17-1-9). They might be unbeaten against Torino at home since 2000 (10-0-7), but they have won just 2 of their last 6 here (2-0-4). This could very well be a low-scoring match, so the Under 2.75 Goals is surely something to consider here.

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