Ligue 1 Lyon vs Brest 8/7/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Lyon are coming off a really frustrating season, in which they didn’t even grab a Champions League ticket for 2021. They made numerous changes in their roster and they are turning over a new leaf. They will now start the new season with a home match against Brest, a team that really threatened them last season. However, Brest barely made an impression last season, finishing at the bottom half of the league table.

Lyon were one of the 4 teams that were fighting for the Ligue 1 title last season but seriously messed up in the final matches. It was a loss to Lille that destroyed their title chances, but their 3-2 loss to an indifferent Nice side in the final match-day was the last nail in the coffin for their Champions League chances. They finished at the 4th spot with 76 points (22 wins, 6 losses, 10 draws), featuring the 2nd best offense in the league with 81 goals and the 5th best defense with 43 conceded. 25 of their 38 matches had Over 2.5 Goals (2nd most in the league), with an average of 3.3 goals per match. Lyon had the 6th most clean sheets last season (11), but Both teams scored in 26 of their 38 matches (68%). Lyon had the 4th best home record with 11 wins, 5 losses, 3 draws, scoring 42 and conceding 23 goals. 15 of their 19 home matches had Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 3.4 goals per match.

Brest barely avoided the relegation last season, finishing at the 17th spot of the league table with 41 points (11 wins, 19 losses, 8 draws), just 1 point above the relegation zone. They scored 50 goals and conceded 66 in the process, which was the 3rd worst defense. 24 of their 38 matches had Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 3.1 goals per match. Brest had the 3rd fewest clean sheets last season with just 7 in 38 matches, while 23 of their 38 matches had goals from both sides (61%). Brest were terrible on the road last season, with 3 wins, 12 losses and 4 draws. They scored the 2nd fewest goals on the road (18) and conceded the 4th most goals on the road (33). 11 of their 19 away matches had Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 2.7 goals per match. Last but not least, they kept just 4 clean sheets on the road last season, which translates to just 21% of their away matches. 

Lyon vs Brest. Lyon split the points in a 2-2 draw at home against Brest last season, but they did beat them by 3-2 on the road. Now 8 of the last 9 matches between the two had goals from both sides, and each of the last 4 had Over 3.5 Goals. Lyon have never lost as hosts against Brest over the years (5 wins, 2 draws). The two teams looked terrible defensively in the pre-season friendlies, but their offensive lines looked great. Taking the Over 3.5 Goals here.

Ligue 1 Lyon vs Brest 8/7/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Ligue 1 Starting Time: 11:00AM EDT

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon

Date: Saturday, August 7th      

Ligue 1 Odds: Lyon -1.5

Ligue 1 Totals: 3.5

Free Ligue 1 Pick: Over 3.5 Goals 

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