La Liga Real Betis vs Valencia 10/27/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Betis have the 2

As far as the xGA go, Real Betis have the 10th worst xGA in the league with 11.48, and the 7th best defense with 11 conceded (considered as normal numbers). At home they have the 7th worst xGA with 5.37, and the 3rd worst HOME defense with 6 conceded (also normal numbers). 

Valencia have the 9th best xG in the league with 11.81, 5th best offense with 15 goals (3.19 more than expected – which indicates an overperforming offense). On the road they have the 8th best xG in the league with 4.68, and the 3rd best offense with 7 goals (2.32 more than expected – which also indicates an overperforming offense).

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La Liga Real Betis vs Valencia 10/27/2021 Prediction and Match Preview

Valencia have the 6th best xGA in the league with 9.51, and the 3rd worst defense with 13 conceded (3.49 more than expected – which indicates an underperforming defense).

On the road they have the 5th best xGA with 4.95, and the 5th worst AWAY defense with 8 conceded (3.05 more than expected – which also indicates an underperforming defense). 

Real Betis vs Valencia. Valencia have lost just 1 of their last 5 trips here (2-1-2), and 4 of the last 5 had BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals. Valencia have been alternating results on the road (up next is a draw or a win), and Betis have done the same at home (up next is a draw or a loss).

Valencia have a bad defense and Betis have a good offense, so there’s a good chance we will see goals here, while the Draw or a Valencia win would not be surprising to me.

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