LEAGUE:SPAIN LA LIGA
MATCH:VALENCIA VS LEVANTE
PICK:Over 2.5 Match Goals ODD:1.80 FT??
The Valencia derby is a fixture that has only really grown in significance during the 21st Century with Levante suddenly become more regular participants in La Liga. They actually have a very good home record against their more illustrious rivals but have never won at the Mestalla and it’s hard to fancy their chances of ending that run here.That is despite a really poor run Valencia are on right now. With a strong first eleven but relatively few reliable options beyond that, it’s perhaps no surprise that they’ve struggled with the demands of playing twice a week as they progressed to the last four of the Copa del Rey. Semi-Final defeat to Barcelona in midweek at least enables them to solely focus on the league again but a run of 6 straight defeats in all competitions will concern Marcelino.Levante games have been less dramatic but a solid 50% of their league fixtures have still produced over 2.5 goals. 4 of their last 5 matches have done likewise and there does look to be value here in backing Over 2.5 Goals.In terms of the outcome, going for a 2-1 Valencia Win might be the best approach. They aren’t playing well enough right now to suggest this will be easy for them but their dominant record in home Valencia derbies as well as the 3rd best home record in La Liga this term, suggests they should edge it.